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age. Pr(passed away in war) ? (level of pupils|died) + Pr(Lasted conflict) ? (number of youngsters|survived). Passing away throughout the war is modelled since the an effective logistic regression, which have face, regiment, delivery place, age and you may score while the effects (face and you will years since the proceeded, other people as the factors). Similarly, just how many people was modelled while the following the an effective Poisson shipping with the exact same outcomes, also having survival due to the fact an additional foundation, together with an interacting with each other ranging from years and you may survival. Sized face shape was in fact thought as generally distributed that have the latest indicate place at genuine face value, that was included in the analysis. The brand new model was fitted which have an excellent Bayesian strategy having fun with vague priors (comprehend the electronic additional situation, S3 to find out more).

step three. Efficiency

1st investigation showed a weak effectation of fWHR with the survival, (log chances ratio out of endurance getting soldier having face step 1 s.d. wider: ?0.19, 95% HPDI: ?0.37 so you’re able to ?0.04; contour 2b; Pr(Otherwise > 0) = 0.007), although not, it impact gone away whenever just troops in the around three main regiments were analysed (rear form out of diary opportunity proportion: ?0.014, HPDI: ?0.20 to help you 0.17; Pr(Otherwise > 0) = 0.44).